But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Southland Conference · Montagne Center · February 25, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread LAM -2.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money LAM -125 / AMCC +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAM win
Actual AMCC +14 136 Lost
Massey LAM -2.7 (-16.7) — —
Massey Totals — 147.3 (-11.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 58% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 62% ✗
Baseline Plus ML LAM -1.5 (-15.5) 148.1 (-12.1) 60% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LAM -0.8 (-14.8) 145.0 (-9.0) 48% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LAM -2.4 (-16.4) 144.2 (-8.2) 62% ✗
Baseline ML LAM -2.0 (-16.0) 145.7 (-9.7) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 AMCC 76 – 63 LAM
Dec 7, 2025 AMCC 57 – 49 LAM
Feb 11, 2025 LAM 67 – 56 AMCC
Dec 6, 2024 LAM 65 – 61 AMCC
Feb 3, 2024 AMCC 79 – 71 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAM AMCC
Overall 19-14 21-12
Conference 12-6 14-4
Home 11-3 13-2
Away 5-11 8-7
Neutral 3-0 0-3
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 76.2 71.7
Avg Pts Against 73.4 68.9
Massey -2.3 (#202) -1.7 (#189)
Bradley-Terry -0.76 (#254) -0.48 (#220)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.80 (#244) -0.61 (#229)
RPI 0.475 (#229) 0.488 (#201)
Shooting & Four Factors LAM AMCC
FG% 45.3% 41.0%
3PT% 36.9% 29.5%
REB / G 37.1 39.2
OREB / G 11.8 13.5
AST / TO 1.30 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.6% 45.5%
TOV% 17.6% 17.5%
ORB% 32.7% 34.3%
FT Rate 24.2% 25.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.8% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 19.8%
DRB% 68.1% 75.5%
Opp FT Rate 29.0% 35.7%

Game Analysis

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