Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -400 LAM +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +4 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -15.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (-35.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -9.0 (-13.0) | 146.6 (-20.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -9.9 (-13.9) | 151.1 (-25.1) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -12.0 (-16.0) | 153.7 (-27.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -12.9 (-16.9) | 150.9 (-24.9) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AMCC 76 – 63 LAM |
| Dec 7, 2025 | AMCC 57 – 49 LAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | LAM 67 – 56 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | AMCC 75 – 61 LAM |
| Feb 3, 2024 | AMCC 79 – 71 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#143) | -8.9 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#251) | -3.83 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#205) | -5.68 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#307) | 0.301 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 31.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.0% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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