We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Southland Conference · Montagne Center · December 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread LAM -3.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money LAM -162 / AMCC +136
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAM win
Actual AMCC +8 106 Lost
Massey LAM -6.8 (-14.8) — —
Massey Totals — 129.8 (-23.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✗
Baseline Plus ML LAM -5.7 (-13.7) 138.3 (-32.3) 74% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LAM -5.7 (-13.7) 134.9 (-28.9) 69% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML LAM -4.6 (-12.6) 133.7 (-27.7) 71% ✗
Baseline ML LAM -4.9 (-12.9) 133.9 (-27.9) 68% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 AMCC 76 – 63 LAM
Feb 11, 2025 LAM 67 – 56 AMCC
Dec 6, 2024 LAM 65 – 61 AMCC
Feb 25, 2024 AMCC 75 – 61 LAM
Feb 3, 2024 AMCC 79 – 71 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAM AMCC
Overall 12-19 18-15
Conference 7-15 13-9
Home 7-8 10-5
Away 5-10 7-9
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L8 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 68.5
Avg Pts Against 70.5 69.4
Massey -1.2 (#182) -3.3 (#219)
Bradley-Terry 0.49 (#145) -1.25 (#279)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.72 (#138) -1.58 (#269)
RPI 0.456 (#249) 0.485 (#200)
Shooting & Four Factors LAM AMCC
FG% 42.0% 35.7%
3PT% 31.5% 27.6%
REB / G 37.8 34.8
OREB / G 13.8 11.4
AST / TO 1.29 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.4% 40.0%
TOV% 16.1% 16.5%
ORB% 35.0% 25.8%
FT Rate 15.4% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.2% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 20.8% 17.2%
DRB% 69.4% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 29.8% 36.5%

Game Analysis

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