I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
Southland Conference · Montagne Center · December 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread LAM -3.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money LAM -162 / AMCC +136
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAM win
Actual AMCC +8 106 Lost
Massey LAM -6.8 (-14.8)
Massey Totals 129.8 (-23.8)
Bradley-Terry 94%
Weighted B-T 97%
Efficiency Plus ML LAM -5.7 (-13.7) 134.9 (-28.9) 69%
Baseline Tuned ML LAM -4.6 (-12.6) 133.7 (-27.7) 71%
Baseline ML LAM -4.9 (-12.9) 133.9 (-27.9) 68%
Baseline Plus ML LAM -5.7 (-13.7) 138.3 (-32.3) 74%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 AMCC 7663 LAM
Feb 11, 2025 LAM 6756 AMCC
Dec 6, 2024 LAM 6561 AMCC
Feb 25, 2024 AMCC 7561 LAM
Feb 3, 2024 AMCC 7971 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAM AMCC
Overall 12-19 18-15
Conference 7-15 13-9
Home 7-8 10-5
Away 5-10 7-9
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L8 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 68.5
Avg Pts Against 70.5 69.4
Massey -1.2 (#182) -3.3 (#219)
Bradley-Terry 0.49 (#145) -1.25 (#279)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.72 (#138) -1.58 (#269)
RPI 0.456 (#249) 0.485 (#200)
Shooting & Four Factors LAM AMCC
FG% 42.0% 35.7%
3PT% 31.5% 27.6%
REB / G 37.8 34.8
OREB / G 13.8 11.4
AST / TO 1.29 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.4% 40.0%
TOV% 16.1% 16.5%
ORB% 35.0% 25.8%
FT Rate 15.4% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.2% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 20.8% 17.2%
DRB% 69.4% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 29.8% 36.5%

Game Analysis

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