Betting Lines
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UTSA -110 RICE +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UTSA -0.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -0.2 (-3.8) | 157.2 (-1.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTSA -0.1 (-4.1) | 156.6 (-0.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -0.7 (-3.3) | 154.3 (+1.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -0.3 (-3.7) | 156.5 (-0.5) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RICE 80 – 71 UTSA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICE 89 – 73 UTSA |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTSA 84 – 56 RICE |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UTSA 90 – 84 RICE |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UTSA 89 – 82 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#279) | -2.8 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#276) | -0.69 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#284) | -0.83 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#277) | 0.484 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.