Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -190 UTSA +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +6 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -7.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -6.1 (-12.1) | 144.3 (+29.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -5.6 (-11.6) | 145.3 (+28.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -5.1 (-11.1) | 143.5 (+30.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -5.7 (-11.7) | 143.9 (+30.1) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RICE 80 – 71 UTSA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICE 89 – 73 UTSA |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTSA 84 – 56 RICE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RICE 80 – 76 UTSA |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UTSA 89 – 82 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 77.5 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#175) | -4.9 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#146) | -0.85 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#155) | -1.28 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#178) | 0.476 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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