Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | UTSA +225 RICE -278 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +16 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -5.1 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -4.4 (-11.6) | 137.5 (+24.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -4.2 (-11.8) | 135.5 (+26.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -4.3 (-11.7) | 137.3 (+24.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -4.9 (-11.1) | 138.9 (+23.1) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RICE 80 – 71 UTSA |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTSA 84 – 56 RICE |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UTSA 90 – 84 RICE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RICE 80 – 76 UTSA |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UTSA 89 – 82 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 7-11 |
| Home | 2-12 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-12 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.9 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -15.2 (#350) | -6.6 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#311) | -0.88 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#310) | -1.30 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#251) | 0.445 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.7% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.8% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 62.8% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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