Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -350 UTSA +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +7 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -8.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -5.4 (-12.4) | 153.5 (+17.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -5.5 (-12.5) | 150.7 (+20.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -5.8 (-12.8) | 147.6 (+23.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -5.6 (-12.6) | 149.3 (+21.7) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RICE 80 – 71 UTSA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICE 89 – 73 UTSA |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTSA 84 – 56 RICE |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UTSA 90 – 84 RICE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RICE 80 – 76 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-10 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#237) | -7.3 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#249) | -1.67 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#248) | -2.03 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#227) | 0.394 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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