Betting Lines
| Spread | UTSA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UTSA -125 RICE +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +28 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UTSA -0.6 (+27.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTSA -1.0 (+27.0) | 149.8 (-9.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTSA -0.4 (+27.6) | 146.8 (-6.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTSA -1.1 (+26.9) | 148.2 (-8.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTSA -0.2 (+27.8) | 149.7 (-9.7) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RICE 80 – 71 UTSA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICE 89 – 73 UTSA |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UTSA 90 – 84 RICE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RICE 80 – 76 UTSA |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UTSA 89 – 82 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#216) | -0.5 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#250) | -0.54 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#238) | -0.47 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#220) | 0.461 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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