Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ILST +210 BRAD -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +13 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -8.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -7.0 (-6.0) | 133.7 (-0.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BRAD -8.2 (-4.8) | 133.1 (-0.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | BRAD -6.9 (-6.1) | 133.4 (-0.4) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -7.0 (-6.0) | 133.9 (-0.9) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | BRAD 74 – 60 ILST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | ILST 88 – 62 BRAD |
| Feb 20, 2025 | ILST 82 – 71 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 57 ILST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BRAD 48 – 45 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#216) | 9.2 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#192) | 1.56 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#185) | 1.78 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#205) | 0.601 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.2% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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