Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -425 ILST +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +4 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -10.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -11.2 (-7.2) | 144.6 (-26.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -10.4 (-6.4) | 142.0 (-24.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -12.3 (-8.3) | 143.7 (-25.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -11.2 (-7.2) | 143.8 (-25.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | BRAD 74 – 60 ILST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | ILST 88 – 62 BRAD |
| Feb 20, 2025 | ILST 82 – 71 BRAD |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BRAD 48 – 45 ILST |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BRAD 73 – 60 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#70) | 1.7 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#37) | 0.26 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#56) | 0.37 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#41) | 0.514 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 41.2% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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