Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ILST -110 BRAD -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -1.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -0.9 (+11.9) | 146.0 (+7.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -1.1 (+12.1) | 143.5 (+9.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -0.4 (+11.4) | 145.7 (+7.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -1.0 (+12.0) | 147.5 (+5.5) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | BRAD 74 – 60 ILST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | ILST 88 – 62 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 57 ILST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BRAD 48 – 45 ILST |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BRAD 73 – 60 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#131) | 6.4 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#139) | 1.69 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#146) | 1.56 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#155) | 0.564 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 40.7% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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