Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -900 ILST +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +3 | 93 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -13.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-40.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -11.4 (-8.4) | 136.2 (-43.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -12.6 (-9.6) | 134.5 (-41.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -11.8 (-8.8) | 136.7 (-43.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -11.6 (-8.6) | 137.1 (-44.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | BRAD 74 – 60 ILST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | ILST 88 – 62 BRAD |
| Feb 20, 2025 | ILST 82 – 71 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 57 ILST |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BRAD 73 – 60 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#67) | -0.9 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#77) | 0.08 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#83) | 0.15 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#37) | 0.502 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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