Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -180 ILST +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +14 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -1.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -1.0 (+13.0) | 146.2 (-12.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BRAD -1.0 (+13.0) | 142.9 (-8.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | BRAD -1.0 (+13.0) | 143.2 (-9.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -1.0 (+13.0) | 144.9 (-10.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | ILST 88 – 62 BRAD |
| Feb 20, 2025 | ILST 82 – 71 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 57 ILST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BRAD 48 – 45 ILST |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BRAD 73 – 60 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#123) | 7.1 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#121) | 0.43 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#131) | 0.59 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#103) | 0.536 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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