Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | SHU -200 LEM +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +6 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -4.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -1.8 (+4.2) | 146.3 (+21.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -1.5 (+4.5) | 147.2 (+20.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -1.9 (+4.1) | 148.5 (+19.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -1.9 (+4.1) | 149.0 (+19.0) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2024 | SHU 80 – 73 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#291) | -8.1 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#316) | -1.54 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#317) | -1.98 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#316) | 0.416 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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