Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LEM +100 SHU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +7 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | LEM -2.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEM -2.0 (-9.0) | 141.3 (+11.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -0.4 (-7.4) | 141.3 (+11.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -0.5 (-7.5) | 141.2 (+11.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.2 (-6.8) | 142.8 (+10.2) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | SHU 87 – 81 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#305) | -6.4 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#310) | -1.65 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#303) | -2.06 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#317) | 0.404 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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