Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -120 ETAM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +13 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -0.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -0.0 (+13.0) | 141.3 (-14.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -0.5 (+13.5) | 139.0 (-12.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -0.4 (+13.4) | 139.6 (-12.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -0.7 (+13.7) | 142.6 (-15.6) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ETAM 52 – 48 NWST |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETAM 74 – 68 NWST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ETAM 72 – 50 NWST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NWST 75 – 67 ETAM |
| Mar 11, 2024 | ETAM 69 – 64 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#339) | -9.7 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#345) | -1.63 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#336) | -2.15 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#347) | 0.436 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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