Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN -115 PENN -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +9 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -0.2 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -0.7 (+9.7) | 143.1 (-12.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -0.0 (+9.0) | 144.3 (-13.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -0.0 (+9.0) | 144.8 (-13.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -0.2 (+9.2) | 144.3 (-13.3) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PENN 82 – 61 BRWN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PENN 81 – 73 BRWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 82 – 72 PENN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BRWN 88 – 79 PENN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | BRWN 71 – 64 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 3-11 |
| Home | 5-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#263) | -1.2 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#311) | -0.54 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#295) | -0.36 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#305) | 0.476 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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