Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN -115 PENN -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +21 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | PENN -3.6 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -1.8 (-19.2) | 140.9 (+2.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -3.8 (-17.2) | 138.8 (+4.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -3.3 (-17.7) | 138.8 (+4.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -3.6 (-17.4) | 139.7 (+3.3) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | PENN 81 – 73 BRWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 82 – 72 PENN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BRWN 88 – 79 PENN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | BRWN 71 – 64 PENN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BRWN 70 – 61 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 9-5 |
| Home | 6-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#276) | -0.3 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#321) | 0.13 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#318) | 0.26 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#334) | 0.528 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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