Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -500 BTLR +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +1 | 197 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -9.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (+43.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -8.2 (-9.2) | 152.4 (+44.6) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -8.5 (-9.5) | 154.2 (+42.8) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -8.3 (-9.3) | 150.9 (+46.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -8.0 (-9.0) | 152.2 (+44.8) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CREI 76 – 59 BTLR |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CREI 89 – 85 BTLR |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CREI 87 – 74 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CREI 80 – 76 BTLR |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CREI 79 – 57 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 16.1 (#13) | 10.5 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#25) | 1.66 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#26) | 2.19 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#25) | 0.562 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.8% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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