I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
Creighton Bluejays
89 – 85
FINAL Conference
Butler Bulldogs
Big East Conference · CHI Health Center Omaha · December 31, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CREI -5.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Over
Money CREI -258 / BTLR +210
Model Predictions
Spread Total CREI win
Actual CREI +4 174 Won
Massey CREI -2.0 (+2.0) — —
Massey Totals — 154.0 (+20.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 47% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 51% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CREI -2.6 (+1.4) 151.2 (+22.8) 63% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CREI -3.5 (+0.5) 151.2 (+22.8) 67% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CREI -3.4 (+0.6) 147.1 (+26.9) 63% ✓
Baseline ML CREI -2.7 (+1.3) 149.6 (+24.4) 69% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 4, 2026 CREI 76 – 59 BTLR
Mar 8, 2025 CREI 87 – 74 BTLR
Jan 11, 2025 CREI 80 – 76 BTLR
Feb 17, 2024 CREI 79 – 57 BTLR
Feb 3, 2024 BTLR 99 – 98 CREI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CREI BTLR
Overall 16-18 16-16
Conference 9-11 7-13
Home 10-6 10-7
Away 4-8 3-8
Neutral 2-4 3-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.2 79.4
Avg Pts Against 75.2 77.5
Massey 11.3 (#50) 13.3 (#40)
Bradley-Terry 1.46 (#73) 2.25 (#44)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.25 (#68) 2.93 (#47)
RPI 0.568 (#73) 0.583 (#54)
Shooting & Four Factors CREI BTLR
FG% 46.5% 47.5%
3PT% 34.8% 35.8%
REB / G 37.7 42.3
OREB / G 10.6 14.2
AST / TO 1.50 1.45
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.0% 54.1%
TOV% 16.8% 16.0%
ORB% 30.9% 38.5%
FT Rate 19.1% 30.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.2% 47.4%
Opp TOV% 15.0% 16.3%
DRB% 70.1% 71.1%
Opp FT Rate 13.6% 15.6%

Game Analysis

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