Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -750 BTLR +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +13 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -8.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -8.5 (+4.5) | 149.7 (+11.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -8.8 (+4.2) | 148.8 (+12.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -9.2 (+3.8) | 147.4 (+13.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -8.5 (+4.5) | 147.8 (+13.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CREI 76 – 59 BTLR |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CREI 89 – 85 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CREI 80 – 76 BTLR |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CREI 79 – 57 BTLR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BTLR 99 – 98 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#38) | 7.9 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#39) | 0.54 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#45) | 1.10 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#42) | 0.508 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.8% | 11.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.7% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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