Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | BTLR +120 CREI -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +22 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -1.4 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -0.1 (-21.9) | 156.7 (-20.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -1.3 (-20.7) | 155.6 (-19.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -1.1 (-20.9) | 154.8 (-18.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -0.0 (-22.0) | 155.3 (-19.3) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CREI 76 – 59 BTLR |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CREI 89 – 85 BTLR |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CREI 87 – 74 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CREI 80 – 76 BTLR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BTLR 99 – 98 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#44) | 15.8 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#49) | 2.11 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#50) | 2.80 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#90) | 0.596 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 11.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 12.6% |
Game Analysis
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