Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | BUT +130 CREI -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | BUT -0.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -0.0 (-4.0) | 145.8 (+10.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUT -0.5 (-4.5) | 142.5 (+13.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUT -0.6 (-4.6) | 142.1 (+13.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUT -0.8 (-4.8) | 140.6 (+15.4) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CREI 76 – 59 BUT |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CREI 89 – 85 BUT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CREI 87 – 74 BUT |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CREI 79 – 57 BUT |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BUT 99 – 98 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUT | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-8 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#80) | 10.4 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#140) | 1.89 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#99) | 2.34 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#128) | 0.601 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUT | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 34.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.5% | 12.1% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 12.8% |
Game Analysis
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