Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | JKST -150 GRAM +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +8 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | JKST -4.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -1.6 (-9.6) | 136.5 (-4.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -2.4 (-10.4) | 133.8 (-1.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -1.8 (-9.8) | 134.4 (-2.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -1.5 (-9.5) | 135.6 (-3.6) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | JKST 68 – 65 GRAM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GRAM 69 – 66 JKST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JKST 65 – 50 GRAM |
| Mar 11, 2023 | GRAM 78 – 69 JKST |
| Jan 28, 2023 | GRAM 78 – 66 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-2 | 9-3 |
| Away | 7-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#283) | -10.6 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#235) | -1.41 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#253) | -1.57 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#222) | 0.447 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.