Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | JKST +130 GRAM -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -6.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -5.0 (+2.0) | 145.3 (-10.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -4.4 (+1.4) | 142.1 (-7.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -4.9 (+1.9) | 145.9 (-10.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -5.0 (+2.0) | 144.4 (-9.4) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | JKST 68 – 65 GRAM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JKST 65 – 50 GRAM |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GRAM 70 – 62 JKST |
| Mar 11, 2023 | GRAM 78 – 69 JKST |
| Jan 28, 2023 | GRAM 78 – 66 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-15 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -17.5 (#359) | -7.8 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#283) | -1.12 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#307) | -1.59 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#252) | 0.443 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 35.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 61.1% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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