Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | GRAM -278 JKST +222 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -7.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -6.2 (+2.8) | 131.5 (+15.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -5.4 (+3.6) | 130.2 (+16.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -6.6 (+2.4) | 131.6 (+15.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -6.3 (+2.7) | 130.7 (+16.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | JKST 68 – 65 GRAM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GRAM 69 – 66 JKST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JKST 65 – 50 GRAM |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GRAM 70 – 62 JKST |
| Jan 28, 2023 | GRAM 78 – 66 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-2 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#195) | -8.3 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#142) | -1.08 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#142) | -1.57 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#126) | 0.464 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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