Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -250 JKST +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +12 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -10.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -8.7 (+3.3) | 137.2 (+6.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -8.3 (+3.7) | 133.7 (+10.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -8.6 (+3.4) | 137.4 (+6.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -8.2 (+3.8) | 136.7 (+7.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | JKST 68 – 65 GRAM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GRAM 69 – 66 JKST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JKST 65 – 50 GRAM |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GRAM 70 – 62 JKST |
| Mar 11, 2023 | GRAM 78 – 69 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-2 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#216) | -9.3 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#166) | -1.50 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#148) | -2.42 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#190) | 0.417 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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