Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -125 JKST +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +15 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -2.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -0.2 (-14.8) | 140.0 (-25.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -0.0 (-15.0) | 137.2 (-22.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -1.0 (-16.0) | 139.4 (-24.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -0.7 (-15.7) | 140.1 (-25.1) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | JKST 68 – 65 GRAM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GRAM 69 – 66 JKST |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GRAM 70 – 62 JKST |
| Mar 11, 2023 | GRAM 78 – 69 JKST |
| Jan 28, 2023 | GRAM 78 – 66 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-1 |
| Away | 4-12 | 6-15 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#320) | -9.3 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#352) | -1.36 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.68 (#355) | -1.86 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#341) | 0.470 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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