Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | JKST +260 GRAM -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -8.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -5.8 (+8.8) | 140.1 (-7.1) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -4.3 (+7.3) | 138.9 (-5.9) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -5.7 (+8.7) | 137.7 (-4.7) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -6.0 (+9.0) | 138.3 (-5.3) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | GRAM 69 – 66 JKST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JKST 65 – 50 GRAM |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GRAM 70 – 62 JKST |
| Mar 11, 2023 | GRAM 78 – 69 JKST |
| Jan 28, 2023 | GRAM 78 – 66 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-15 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -17.2 (#355) | -9.2 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#306) | -1.49 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#321) | -1.90 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#264) | 0.443 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 62.7% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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