I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Jackson State Tigers
68 65
FINAL Neutral Conference SWAC
Grambling Tigers
Southwestern Athletic Conference · Gateway Center (Neutral) · March 11, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread GRAM -7.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money JKST +260 / GRAM -325
Model Predictions
Spread Total JKST win
Actual JKST +3 133 Won
Massey GRAM -8.0 (+11.0)
Massey Totals 144.9 (-11.9)
Bradley-Terry 49%
Weighted B-T 42%
Efficiency Plus ML GRAM -4.7 (+7.7) 137.9 (-4.9) 31%
Baseline Tuned ML GRAM -4.7 (+7.7) 138.4 (-5.4) 30%
Baseline ML GRAM -5.9 (+8.9) 138.6 (-5.6) 31%
Baseline Plus ML GRAM -5.2 (+8.2) 141.1 (-8.1) 29%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 GRAM 6966 JKST
Feb 1, 2025 JKST 6550 GRAM
Feb 3, 2024 GRAM 7062 JKST
Mar 11, 2023 GRAM 7869 JKST
Jan 28, 2023 GRAM 7866 JKST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JKST GRAM
Overall 12-21 14-19
Conference 10-8 7-11
Home 7-3 7-5
Away 4-15 4-13
Neutral 1-3 3-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.2 69.0
Avg Pts Against 83.8 71.3
Massey -17.2 (#355) -9.2 (#305)
Bradley-Terry -1.54 (#306) -1.49 (#300)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.21 (#321) -1.90 (#305)
RPI 0.459 (#264) 0.443 (#294)
Shooting & Four Factors JKST GRAM
FG% 39.1% 42.7%
3PT% 31.5% 32.2%
REB / G 33.6 32.6
OREB / G 11.1 10.1
AST / TO 0.77 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.9% 48.9%
TOV% 19.1% 21.2%
ORB% 29.0% 30.4%
FT Rate 28.4% 29.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 20.8%
DRB% 62.7% 67.8%
Opp FT Rate 31.4% 28.8%

Game Analysis

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