Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -213 RUTG +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -4.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -3.5 (-13.5) | 144.3 (-16.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -3.7 (-13.7) | 143.7 (-15.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -3.7 (-13.7) | 137.9 (-9.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -3.4 (-13.4) | 139.1 (-11.1) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | MICH 101 – 60 RUTG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MICH 84 – 82 RUTG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MICH 66 – 63 RUTG |
| Mar 1, 2024 | RUTG 82 – 52 MICH |
| Mar 9, 2023 | RUTG 62 – 50 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 7-13 |
| Home | 5-10 | 12-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L9 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#94) | 4.6 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#146) | 0.84 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#115) | 1.18 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#122) | 0.521 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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