Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -150 RUTG +126 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +12 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -1.9 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -1.0 (-13.0) | 132.9 (-20.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -0.9 (-12.9) | 133.9 (-21.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -0.7 (-11.3) | 133.4 (-21.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -0.3 (-12.3) | 134.5 (-22.5) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | MICH 101 – 60 RUTG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MICH 84 – 82 RUTG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MICH 66 – 63 RUTG |
| Mar 1, 2024 | RUTG 82 – 52 MICH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RUTG 69 – 59 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 61.1 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#49) | 12.0 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#63) | 1.39 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#45) | 1.77 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#87) | 0.537 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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