Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG +225 MICH -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +3 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -7.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (-32.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -4.3 (+1.3) | 153.8 (-24.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -4.6 (+1.6) | 151.3 (-22.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -3.4 (+0.4) | 155.5 (-26.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -3.9 (+0.9) | 156.5 (-27.5) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | MICH 101 – 60 RUTG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | MICH 84 – 82 RUTG |
| Mar 1, 2024 | RUTG 82 – 52 MICH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RUTG 69 – 59 MICH |
| Mar 9, 2023 | RUTG 62 – 50 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#73) | 18.3 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#71) | 2.64 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#61) | 3.86 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#70) | 0.635 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 49.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 58.1% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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