Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -500 RUTG +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +2 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -12.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -11.9 (-9.9) | 153.7 (+12.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -9.5 (-7.5) | 155.2 (+10.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -11.2 (-9.2) | 154.5 (+11.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -11.7 (-9.7) | 153.1 (+12.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | MICH 101 – 60 RUTG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MICH 66 – 63 RUTG |
| Mar 1, 2024 | RUTG 82 – 52 MICH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RUTG 69 – 59 MICH |
| Mar 9, 2023 | RUTG 62 – 50 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 17.4 (#20) | 8.2 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.09 (#13) | 1.38 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.98 (#12) | 2.04 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.634 (#9) | 0.544 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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