And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · March 1, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -7.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money RUTG -333 / MICH +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +30 134 Won
Massey RUTG -4.5 (+25.5)
Massey Totals 138.1 (-4.1)
Bradley-Terry 83%
Weighted B-T 82%
Efficiency Plus ML RUTG -4.9 (+25.1) 140.2 (-6.2) 76%
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -5.2 (+24.8) 137.0 (-3.0) 71%
Baseline ML RUTG -5.2 (+24.8) 138.9 (-4.9) 73%
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -5.3 (+24.7) 141.1 (-7.1) 74%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 6, 2025 MICH 10160 RUTG
Feb 28, 2025 MICH 8482 RUTG
Feb 1, 2025 MICH 6663 RUTG
Feb 3, 2024 RUTG 6959 MICH
Mar 9, 2023 RUTG 6250 MICH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG MICH
Overall 15-17 8-24
Conference 7-13 3-17
Home 12-5 5-10
Away 3-9 2-9
Neutral 0-3 1-5
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L4 L9
Avg Pts For 65.4 72.9
Avg Pts Against 66.5 79.0
Massey 5.9 (#93) 4.7 (#108)
Bradley-Terry 1.21 (#85) 0.24 (#151)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.55 (#85) 0.73 (#123)
RPI 0.534 (#115) 0.508 (#161)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG MICH
FG% 39.1% 45.6%
3PT% 29.1% 37.1%
REB / G 37.5 35.5
OREB / G 12.4 10.5
AST / TO 1.04 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.6% 52.6%
TOV% 16.7% 18.3%
ORB% 30.7% 30.8%
FT Rate 22.4% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 21.6% 13.6%
DRB% 68.8% 68.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.7% 21.1%

Game Analysis

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