Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +41 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -37.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -26.2 (+14.8) | 142.7 (+18.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -19.7 (+21.3) | 149.6 (+11.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -21.5 (+19.5) | 144.6 (+16.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -28.7 (+12.3) | 144.2 (+16.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2025 | MICH 84 – 82 RUTG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MICH 66 – 63 RUTG |
| Mar 1, 2024 | RUTG 82 – 52 MICH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RUTG 69 – 59 MICH |
| Mar 9, 2023 | RUTG 62 – 50 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-7 |
| Away | 11-0 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 31.8 (#1) | -1.1 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.88 (#3) | -0.49 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 8.07 (#2) | -0.52 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.768 (#1) | 0.462 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 46.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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