Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -400 CMU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +1 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -8.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -4.4 (-5.4) | 141.6 (+11.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -5.2 (-6.2) | 140.2 (+12.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -4.4 (-5.4) | 139.0 (+14.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -4.4 (-5.4) | 139.6 (+13.4) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CMU 62 – 59 BGSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CMU 90 – 71 BGSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | BGSU 66 – 56 CMU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | CMU 62 – 60 BGSU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | CMU 77 – 74 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#201) | -6.6 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#152) | 0.05 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#170) | -0.35 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#177) | 0.494 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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