Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | CMU -280 BGSU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +19 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -7.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -6.2 (+12.8) | 144.2 (+16.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -5.0 (+14.0) | 143.4 (+17.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -6.7 (+12.3) | 141.2 (+19.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -6.5 (+12.5) | 142.4 (+18.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CMU 62 – 59 BGSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | BGSU 66 – 56 CMU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | CMU 62 – 60 BGSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CMU 77 – 76 BGSU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | CMU 77 – 74 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#224) | -8.4 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#267) | -1.86 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#266) | -2.58 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#241) | 0.405 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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