Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | CMU +330 BGSU -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +3 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | BGSU -10.3 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-26.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -7.0 (+10.0) | 144.4 (-23.4) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -8.5 (+11.5) | 143.1 (-22.1) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -7.9 (+10.9) | 145.2 (-24.2) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -8.2 (+11.2) | 146.6 (-25.6) | 19% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2025 | CMU 90 – 71 BGSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | BGSU 66 – 56 CMU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | CMU 62 – 60 BGSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CMU 77 – 76 BGSU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | CMU 77 – 74 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-7 |
| Away | 1-15 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#303) | 3.9 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#318) | 0.28 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#286) | 0.39 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#307) | 0.516 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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