Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -300 CMU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +3 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -6.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -4.4 (-7.4) | 142.8 (+8.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -4.0 (-7.0) | 142.7 (+8.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -3.2 (-6.2) | 144.7 (+6.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -3.4 (-6.4) | 142.6 (+8.4) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CMU 62 – 59 BGSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CMU 90 – 71 BGSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | BGSU 66 – 56 CMU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | CMU 62 – 60 BGSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CMU 77 – 76 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-9 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#271) | -8.4 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#284) | -1.61 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#278) | -1.96 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#292) | 0.420 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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