You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Mid-American Conference · Stroh Center · February 15, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread BGSU -7.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money BGSU -300 / CMU +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total BGSU win
Actual CMU +3 151 Lost
Massey BGSU -6.3 (-9.3) — —
Massey Totals — 143.6 (+7.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 75% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 79% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BGSU -3.4 (-6.4) 142.6 (+8.4) 61% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BGSU -4.4 (-7.4) 142.8 (+8.2) 68% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BGSU -4.0 (-7.0) 142.7 (+8.3) 66% ✗
Baseline ML BGSU -3.2 (-6.2) 144.7 (+6.3) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 CMU 62 – 59 BGSU
Feb 2, 2025 CMU 90 – 71 BGSU
Mar 14, 2024 BGSU 66 – 56 CMU
Feb 21, 2024 CMU 62 – 60 BGSU
Feb 3, 2024 CMU 77 – 76 BGSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BGSU CMU
Overall 11-20 10-21
Conference 5-13 5-13
Home 7-9 6-8
Away 4-11 3-12
Neutral 0-0 1-1
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 74.5 64.7
Avg Pts Against 79.1 74.0
Massey -5.7 (#271) -8.4 (#313)
Bradley-Terry -1.16 (#284) -1.61 (#312)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.39 (#278) -1.96 (#314)
RPI 0.440 (#292) 0.420 (#319)
Shooting & Four Factors BGSU CMU
FG% 44.6% 40.7%
3PT% 34.6% 29.4%
REB / G 35.8 35.0
OREB / G 10.7 11.3
AST / TO 1.06 0.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.7% 46.3%
TOV% 17.3% 22.5%
ORB% 29.5% 31.2%
FT Rate 22.5% 24.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.8% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 19.7%
DRB% 71.5% 66.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.2% 27.6%

Game Analysis

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