Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | CMU -138 BGSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +2 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -1.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -0.4 (+1.6) | 139.9 (-17.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -0.6 (+1.4) | 140.1 (-18.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -1.0 (+1.0) | 137.9 (-15.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -1.1 (+0.9) | 138.7 (-16.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CMU 62 – 59 BGSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CMU 90 – 71 BGSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | BGSU 66 – 56 CMU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CMU 77 – 76 BGSU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | CMU 77 – 74 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#270) | -4.0 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#147) | -0.13 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#185) | -0.32 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#160) | 0.484 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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