Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | CMU +145 BGSU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +10 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -2.9 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-13.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -2.5 (-7.5) | 138.6 (-16.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -2.5 (-7.5) | 137.4 (-15.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -1.9 (-8.1) | 134.7 (-12.7) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -2.1 (-7.9) | 135.0 (-13.0) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CMU 62 – 59 BGSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CMU 90 – 71 BGSU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | CMU 62 – 60 BGSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CMU 77 – 76 BGSU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | CMU 77 – 74 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#279) | -3.5 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#166) | -0.15 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#208) | -0.32 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#163) | 0.487 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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