I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
America East Conference · Patrick Gymnasium · February 3, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UVM -15.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money UVM -2500 / BING +1000
Model Predictions
Spread Total UVM win
Actual UVM +13 111 Won
Massey UVM -15.6 (-2.6) — —
Massey Totals — 137.5 (-26.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UVM -13.2 (-0.2) 134.3 (-23.3) 88% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UVM -14.2 (-1.2) 133.9 (-22.9) 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UVM -12.1 (+0.9) 136.5 (-25.5) 87% ✓
Baseline ML UVM -12.2 (+0.8) 134.4 (-23.4) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 UVM 73 – 65 BING
Jan 9, 2026 UVM 60 – 59 BING
Jan 30, 2025 BING 75 – 72 UVM
Jan 17, 2025 UVM 72 – 64 BING
Jan 18, 2024 UVM 82 – 62 BING

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UVM BING
Overall 28-7 15-15
Conference 15-1 7-9
Home 16-1 10-4
Away 10-4 5-11
Neutral 2-2 0-0
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 69.7
Avg Pts Against 63.8 73.8
Massey 4.5 (#108) -7.6 (#296)
Bradley-Terry 1.41 (#74) -0.74 (#246)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.69 (#78) -1.27 (#279)
RPI 0.568 (#73) 0.473 (#224)
Shooting & Four Factors UVM BING
FG% 45.8% 43.9%
3PT% 34.1% 27.9%
REB / G 33.9 36.7
OREB / G 7.2 10.6
AST / TO 1.45 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.2% 48.1%
TOV% 13.9% 18.0%
ORB% 21.9% 29.7%
FT Rate 18.9% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.4% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 14.4% 13.6%
DRB% 75.2% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 18.3% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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