Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | BING +170 UVM -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BING +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | BING -0.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -0.0 (+3.0) | 131.1 (+15.9) | 43% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UVM -1.5 (+4.5) | 129.6 (+17.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | BING -0.2 (+2.8) | 131.8 (+15.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -0.1 (+3.1) | 132.1 (+14.9) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UVM 73 – 65 BING |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVM 60 – 59 BING |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UVM 72 – 64 BING |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UVM 62 – 49 BING |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UVM 82 – 62 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 13-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 65.0 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#323) | -7.6 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#293) | -0.64 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#300) | -0.98 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#281) | 0.478 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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