Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BING +210 UVM -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +20 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -5.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -5.2 (-14.8) | 139.6 (+4.4) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -6.2 (-13.8) | 138.1 (+5.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -5.6 (-14.4) | 138.6 (+5.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -5.3 (-14.7) | 140.2 (+3.8) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UVM 73 – 65 BING |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVM 60 – 59 BING |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BING 75 – 72 UVM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UVM 72 – 64 BING |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UVM 62 – 49 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 15-1 |
| Home | 10-4 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-11 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#285) | 2.1 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#253) | 0.94 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#267) | 1.18 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#238) | 0.537 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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