Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -900 BING +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -7.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -4.9 (+3.1) | 131.1 (+4.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -6.2 (+1.8) | 131.1 (+4.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -3.9 (+4.1) | 130.5 (+5.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -4.5 (+3.5) | 131.1 (+4.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UVM 73 – 65 BING |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVM 60 – 59 BING |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BING 75 – 72 UVM |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UVM 62 – 49 BING |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UVM 82 – 62 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#267) | -9.5 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#216) | -1.08 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#219) | -1.57 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#194) | 0.449 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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