Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
America East Conference · Patrick Gymnasium · January 17, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UVM -10.5 Away covered
O/U 126.5 Over
Money UVM -900 / BING +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total UVM win
Actual UVM +8 136 Won
Massey UVM -7.4 (+0.6)
Massey Totals 125.3 (+10.7)
Bradley-Terry 77%
Weighted B-T 84%
Efficiency Plus ML UVM -6.2 (+1.8) 131.1 (+4.9) 78%
Baseline Tuned ML UVM -3.9 (+4.1) 130.5 (+5.5) 66%
Baseline ML UVM -4.5 (+3.5) 131.1 (+4.9) 70%
Baseline Plus ML UVM -4.9 (+3.1) 131.1 (+4.9) 73%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 UVM 7365 BING
Jan 9, 2026 UVM 6059 BING
Jan 30, 2025 BING 7572 UVM
Feb 3, 2024 UVM 6249 BING
Jan 18, 2024 UVM 8262 BING

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UVM BING
Overall 21-12 15-17
Conference 13-3 7-9
Home 13-3 9-4
Away 7-8 5-12
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 64.5 68.6
Avg Pts Against 65.0 73.0
Massey -5.8 (#267) -9.5 (#317)
Bradley-Terry -0.52 (#216) -1.08 (#266)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.72 (#219) -1.57 (#282)
RPI 0.488 (#194) 0.449 (#266)
Shooting & Four Factors UVM BING
FG% 39.6% 45.0%
3PT% 30.3% 37.2%
REB / G 32.2 33.7
OREB / G 8.4 8.7
AST / TO 0.88 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.4% 51.7%
TOV% 18.8% 19.7%
ORB% 24.5% 26.2%
FT Rate 21.6% 23.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.7% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 13.2%
DRB% 70.4% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 26.1%

Game Analysis

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