Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BING +600 UVM -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +8 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -12.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -11.8 (+3.8) | 136.8 (+1.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -12.0 (+4.0) | 135.5 (+2.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -11.3 (+3.3) | 137.5 (+0.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -10.5 (+2.5) | 137.0 (+1.0) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVM 60 – 59 BING |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BING 75 – 72 UVM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UVM 72 – 64 BING |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UVM 62 – 49 BING |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UVM 82 – 62 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 12-4 |
| Home | 7-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-14 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -18.7 (#361) | -3.6 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.78 (#364) | -0.69 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.72 (#363) | -0.72 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.311 (#365) | 0.481 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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