Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -2800 BING +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +1 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -22.1 (-21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-37.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -17.6 (-16.6) | 144.4 (-25.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -16.6 (-15.6) | 145.5 (-26.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -16.6 (-15.6) | 148.1 (-29.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -17.8 (-16.8) | 147.9 (-28.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UVM 73 – 65 BING |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BING 75 – 72 UVM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UVM 72 – 64 BING |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UVM 62 – 49 BING |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UVM 82 – 62 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 4-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-7 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#188) | -19.6 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#197) | -4.01 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#190) | -5.17 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#154) | 0.299 (#365) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 39.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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