Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -500 WICH +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -11.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -10.5 (-8.5) | 152.4 (-24.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -10.0 (-8.0) | 152.5 (-24.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -10.2 (-8.2) | 153.9 (-25.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -9.6 (-7.6) | 155.4 (-27.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WICH 88 – 82 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WICH 74 – 59 MEM |
| Mar 14, 2025 | MEM 83 – 80 WICH |
| Feb 16, 2025 | WICH 84 – 79 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MEM 61 – 53 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#78) | 0.1 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#57) | -0.15 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#46) | -0.06 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#51) | 0.496 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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