Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | TTU -200 CIN +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -2.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -3.8 (-6.8) | 140.8 (+6.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -3.4 (-6.4) | 140.7 (+6.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -3.6 (-6.6) | 140.7 (+6.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -3.2 (-6.2) | 142.2 (+4.8) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | TTU 80 – 68 CIN |
| Jan 22, 2025 | TTU 81 – 71 CIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 22-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 16-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#35) | 13.1 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#18) | 1.47 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#36) | 2.22 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#24) | 0.569 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 41.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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