Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | CIN +105 TTU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -1.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -1.3 (-8.7) | 132.9 (+19.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -2.0 (-8.0) | 130.1 (+21.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -1.4 (-8.6) | 131.1 (+20.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -1.2 (-8.8) | 131.8 (+20.2) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | TTU 80 – 68 CIN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CIN 75 – 72 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-5 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#40) | 18.4 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#64) | 2.05 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#66) | 3.28 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#86) | 0.575 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.